Some Perspective on the Impact of NWAC
While I am an all-too-typical Presbyterian in some ways, I am decidedly atypical in being mostly disinterested in, and even dismayed by, matters of polity. I'm no expert in polity, and proudly so. This puts me decidedly out of the mainstream of many active Presbyterians who, from my vantage point, are borderline obsessive about polity issues to the point where little of anything substantive gets accomplished. I offer this background as something of a disclaimer the reader should consider in evaluating the below.
The New Wineskins Association of Churches (NWAC) is a loosely affiliated group of conservative congregations in the mainline PCUSA denomination. Depending on who's doing the counting, the number of congregations 'affiliated' with NWAC is around 150. Recently, NWAC held a convocation at which they petitioned my denomination, the Evangelical Presbyterian Church (EPC) to establish a non-geographic New Wineskins presbytery that would be designed to 'receive' NWAC churches who feel called to leave the PCUSA over theological issues. At its recent General Assembly, the EPC approved this plan, along with some other polity infrastructure mechanisms, in order to facilitate the receiving of NWAC churches that are interested in exploring or joining the EPC. So much for the background...
Ever since the EPC General Assembly, the assessment of the impact of the above has varied greatly depending on who one consults. The PCUSA regime has largely ignored these events and pretty clearly seems to be trying to downplay the importance of these things. On the other hand, folks in the EPC, along with conservative publications like the Layman, are trumpeting these events as incredibly significant. These folks talk of a fundamental realignment taking place, and characterize the movement of about two dozen churches out of the PCUSA in the last year as an 'exodus'. Who is to be believed?
Well, I think some perspective is in order. It is in the best interests of the PCUSA leadership to downplay these events and minimize the impact upon the denomination and its work. It is also in the best interests of the EPC and other sympathetic voices to loudly proclaim these events dramatize the impact. So right off the bat, neither side's spin on these events is particularly surprising, given their respective vested interests. But there is more to it than that.
From the perspective of the PCUSA, it's not hard to see why they wouldn't be very inclined to see the movement of 25 churches out of their denomination as a big huge event. The PCUSA is currently a denomination of over 11,000 churches. 25 churches is hardly an 'exodus', which Webster defines as a 'mass migration'. 25 churches out of 11,000 is no exodus. Even if certain reports are true that as many as 40 other churches might leave PCUSA in the next year, the total number of congregations bolting the PCUSA because of theological strife would still be only one half of one percent of the congregational total of the denomination. If this is a 'realignment', it ain't much of one.
So does this mean that the PCUSA's muted reaction to the NWAC movement is appropriate and that the EPC/Layman rhetoric is overblown? Not exactly. First, the EPC is a much smaller denomination than the PCUSA. An influx of 25-50 churches within a two year period is indeed a big deal from the perspective of the EPC. It has been suggested that by the time the polity stuff works itself out, the EPC might be close to double the size it was before all this began. That's a big deal, and the EPC is correct to consider it a big deal from their vantage point. In addition, it is pretty well known that a number of the NWAC churches that have left or are contemplating leaving the PCUSA are quite large. I think it's fair to say that while the NWAC numbers are small in terms of the number of congregations, many of these congregations wield more power and influence than what might be supposed because a number of them are/were flagship churches in the PCUSA. Kirk of the Hills, Signal Mountain, Montreat, Memorial, and others are all influential churches with large memberships running from 500-2,000 people. Given the presbyterian government structure of both the PCUSA and the EPC, it is inaccurate to suggest that the movement of these kinds of churches don't have a considerable impact, particularly at the presbytery level. Earlier this year, the PCUSA held a highly publicized conference on the viability of presbyteries given the ever shrinking financial resources they have to work with due to membership decline, dedicated giving, and congregational flight. This conference was held before the EPC General Assembly.
In the end, I think the truth is somewhere in between the respective spins of both sides. In my view, words like 'exodus' and 'realignment' are inappropriate to employ in measuring the impact of NWAC. We're not talking about a flood of congregation departures from the PCUSA, but a drip. But likewise, it is quite disingenuous for the PCUSA to pretend like these developments are not newsworthy and don't have broader harmful implications to a denomination that is already reeling from organic membership decline and distrust of their leadership at the pew level. Interested observers would be wise to consider the source when considering the viewpoints being expressed about the impact of NWAC.